Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 2207.070301 2392.064834 2578.785854 2781.067816 2993.719598 3210.351474 3447.419267
2025-06-22 1899.935241 2176.758624 2466.169408 2790.116099 3141.417458 3509.731297 3923.923889
2025-06-29 1692.537390 2023.046882 2377.832722 2784.537858 3235.424175 3717.649623 4270.034762
2025-07-06 1487.221339 1848.304504 2245.319559 2710.164368 3235.477313 3806.913343 4471.675104
2025-07-13 1417.655107 1816.965371 2264.316829 2796.656657 3406.987182 4079.305880 4870.307195
2025-07-20 1335.115641 1762.615553 2250.169595 2839.222545 3523.627685 4286.231692 5192.631855
2025-07-27 1245.615994 1693.125938 2212.459921 2849.118166 3598.221073 4441.912866 5454.187120
2025-08-03 1158.809851 1620.959533 2166.451137 2844.589116 3652.081157 4570.711448 5682.575981
2025-08-10 1091.420757 1568.197000 2139.863353 2859.673700 3726.072322 4720.596112 5933.674015
2025-08-17 1016.265622 1501.268825 2092.236492 2846.013346 3763.112999 4825.216727 6130.605488
2025-08-24 966.469266 1463.669969 2078.236711 2871.042130 3844.682362 4980.907209 6386.485982
2025-08-31 901.483930 1402.813547 2032.156298 2853.901446 3873.097196 5072.036348 6565.243205
2025-09-07 872.731692 1389.176599 2045.858295 2911.820940 3994.480323 5276.284690 6881.319741
2025-09-14 825.287508 1348.107107 2022.629453 2922.032099 4056.528131 5409.250847 7113.116802
2025-09-21 774.883287 1300.286581 1988.371813 2916.264461 4097.214811 5515.332429 7312.074521
2025-09-28 700.269459 1214.849168 1901.238999 2839.540350 4046.570846 5508.213780 7372.923122
2025-10-05 693.885297 1225.735864 1942.209804 2928.764547 4205.044054 5757.347558 7744.847121
2025-10-12 671.327353 1212.003560 1949.035327 2972.664577 4305.731770 5935.472186 8030.886026
2025-10-19 638.190443 1181.098103 1931.126764 2982.869401 4362.674175 6059.151182 8250.425809
2025-10-26 602.021649 1143.851083 1902.986849 2978.198879 4399.551208 6157.301515 8438.393268
2025-11-02 574.779351 1118.720340 1890.609892 2993.754365 4461.939497 6286.982021 8665.213104
2025-11-09 539.671691 1079.708888 1857.229528 2979.667604 4484.816925 6366.483730 8829.673850
2025-11-16 518.941863 1062.152157 1853.582269 3005.477143 4559.519447 6511.181642 9075.273902